Volatility on the Edge: Fed Minutes, Yen’s Critical Pivot & Gold’s Big Retest

Author

FX Rocket Profits
August 05, 2025

In partnership with

Hanging in the Balance—Volatility’s Next Act, Yen’s Pivot & Gold’s Retest

Heading into a catalyst-packed week, traders are weighing whether recent swings will persist or peter out. Our event guide lays out the Fed minutes, key earnings and tariff deadlines that could keep volatility elevated—or lull markets back into calm. On the charts, USD/JPY paused its drop right at the ascending channel floor and the 78.6% retracement of July’s rally, marking a make-or-break pivot for the dollar. Meanwhile, gold — after slicing through its long-term triangle support — has rallied back into that broken zone, now testing the 50% Fib and moving averages as fresh resistance. Pairing your calendar blueprint with these precise inflection points primes you to act decisively whether volatility spikes or fades.

⚡ Trading Week Ahead: Will Volatility Stay High or Start to Fade?

  • Your day-by-day breakdown of Fed minutes, earnings, and tariff deadlines—all the potential triggers for the week ahead.

📉 USD/JPY’s Trend Support After Friday’s Selloff

  • USD/JPY stalled its slide at 147.60—right on the ascending channel floor and the 78.6% Fib of July’s upswing. Watch for a bounce toward 149.00 or a breakdown to 146.00.

📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Support Turned Resistance Zone

  • Gold has climbed back to retest the broken triangle bottom near the 50% Fib and key moving averages. A rejection here could send it back to $3,199; a breakout targets $3,371.

This week’s lineup equips you to master both your calendar and your charts. Whether volatility stays frothy or fades, you’ll know exactly when and where to position ahead of Fed minutes, earnings, and tariff headlines. And on the technical front, you’ve got two high-probability setups: the dollar’s stand at channel support and gold’s retest of broken resistance. Use these insights to trade with clarity, confidence, and impeccable timing.

Happy Trading!

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